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    @D@vid, bem que podias pôr na 1.ª página uns fundos de commodities que estivessem carregados de cobre, para se atender à preocupação do user investidor e também, como o Cu é um bom condutor de eletrões, seria bom para a fluição do tópico. 

    Editado por Bedrock
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    Não sei se já repararam mas acabaram os votos negativos, assim deste modo resolve-se parte do problema, ainda existem outros mas irão ser resolvidos para que se volte a ter um tópico com um ar mais re

    Este fim de semana estive a rebalancear o meu portfolio, partilho convosco. Livrei-me dos bad performers e quero apostar neste Q4 e Q1'22 que se antevê vigoroso. Em Fevereiro fiz uma aposta em US

    Como pedido pelo @D@vid actualização da minha carteira 4Fundos. A carteira 4 fundos foi feita no final de 2016 por via de programação em R: As performances desde a sua criaçã

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    há 38 minutos, 5coroas disse:

    Sim, esse é um requisito fundamental. No meu caso, o meu plano é, quando chegar a muito desejada reforma, começar a ordenhar anualmente 4 ou 5% dos ETF/PPR como complemento da reforma, mantendo a vaca produtiva até que chegue a minha vez de bater com os costados no fundo de um buraco.

    O meu plano é ter 80% em ETF/PPR e 20% para brincar com FI; obviamente tudo separado e cada qual com a sua estratégia.

    off topic (se la chegar meu caro) ....

    continuacao bons investimentos 

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    Wall Street’s Most Reviled Investors Worry About Their Fate

    Short sellers — self-described financial detectives who make money when companies fail — were already

    Wall Street’s Most Reviled Investors Worry About Their Fate

    Short sellers — self-described financial detectives who make money when companies fail — were already worried about their success and safety. Then GameStop happened.

     

    Fahmi Quadir’s hedge fund, Safkhet Capital, manages about $50 million.Fahmi Quadir’s hedge Fahmi Quadir’s hedge fund, Safkhet Capital, manages about $50 million.Credit...Gili Benita for The New York Times

    • A linda está tão triste ... correu-lhe mal o short, foi? Temos pena.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/08/business/wall-street-short-sellers-game-stop.html

     

    Editado por Bedrock
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    há 1 hora, JM_ disse:

    É pena ser de distribuição 

    O fundo distribui zero€, desde 2000 só distribuiu 3 vezes no valor de 0,02€/0,03€, uma fortuna portanto, e já foi há uns bons anos.

    @Bedrock uma vez que a moda são os ETFs lol, há este no BB: WisdomTree Copper (EUR) OD7C DE000A0KRJU0

    Editado por D@vid
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    há 2 horas, Bedrock disse:

    Repeat after me: That sounds stupid, I’m buying some just in case.

    These are the only nine words you need to know to invest successfully in the 2020’s decade so far. Non-fungible tokens? Protocol coins? SPACs? Buffer ETFs? Chinese internet stocks? Dogecoin? Meme stocks? Pre-revenue EV startups? Digital baseball cards? NBA video clips on the blockchain?

    Repeat after me:

    That sounds stupid, I’m buying some just in case. 

    Practice saying it. Only way to minimize regret. Because with 6% economic growth + zero percent interest rates + millions of people sitting around on their phones all day speculating in stupid shit on the internet, your regrets will multiply daily as said stupid shit continues to grow exponentially in price and adoption. Elon Musk just put $1.5 billion of Tesla’s $19 billion cash position into Bitcoin. Wave goodbye! Whether you thought it made sense or not, nobody cares. The richest person in the world has decided it makes sense, so that’s game, set, match.

    And if he decides to make the f***ing dog coin valuable, how exactly will anyone be able to stop him? He has 46 million Twitter followers and $182 billion in net worth – what regulatory agency in the United States has actual (not just written) power over his words or actions at this point? What lawyers can he not hire? What fines can he not afford to pay? Think hard about it, we’ll wait. LOL.

    If you’ve forgotten your ‘Charlie and the Chocolate Factory’, a quick reminder – the words of Willy Wonka at the bow of the Wondrous Boat, on its way through the tunnel…

    These are the only nine words you need to know to invest successfully in the 2020’s decade so far. Non-fungible tokens? Protocol coins? SPACs? Buffer ETFs? Chinese internet stocks? Dogecoin? Meme stocks? Pre-revenue EV startups? Digital baseball cards? NBA video clips on the blockchain?

    Repeat after me:

    That sounds stupid, I’m buying some just in case. 

    Practice saying it. Only way to minimize regret. Because with 6% economic growth + zero percent interest rates + millions of people sitting around on their phones all day speculating in stupid shit on the internet, your regrets will multiply daily as said stupid shit continues to grow exponentially in price and adoption. Elon Musk just put $1.5 billion of Tesla’s $19 billion cash position into Bitcoin. Wave goodbye! Whether you thought it made sense or not, nobody cares. The richest person in the world has decided it makes sense, so that’s game, set, match.

    And if he decides to make the f***ing dog coin valuable, how exactly will anyone be able to stop him? He has 46 million Twitter followers and $182 billion in net worth – what regulatory agency in the United States has actual (not just written) power over his words or actions at this point? What lawyers can he not hire? What fines can he not afford to pay? Think hard about it, we’ll wait. LOL.

    If you’ve forgotten your ‘Charlie and the Chocolate Factory’, a quick reminder – the words of Willy Wonka at the bow of the Wondrous Boat, on its way through the tunnel…

    There’s no earthly way of knowing/Which direction they are going… There’s no knowing where they’re rowing…

    Or which way the river’s flowing… Is it raining, is it snowing?/Is a hurricane a-blowing?

    Not a speck of light is showing/So the danger must be growing… Are the fires of Hell a-glowing?/Is the grisly Reaper mowing?/Yes! The danger must be growing/’Cause the rowers keep on rowing/

    [practically screaming] 

    And they’re certainly not showing/Any sign that they are slowing!

    [high-pitched, almost unearthly scream] 

    So there’s no earthly way of knowing anything about the future prices of all these things. For now, they’re all going higher. I logged into my Coinbase to see all these little shitcoins I bought years ago and just left alone. Never seen anything like it. Prices making record highs. If it feels like people are creating money out of thin air, that’s literally what they’re doing. Why not? If the public is willing to go along with it, whose going to stop them?

    https://thereformedbroker.com/2021/02/08/repeat-after-me-that-sounds-stupid-im-buying-some-just-in-case/

     

    Ontem li um artigo parecido na Bloomberg.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-02-08/elon-musk-works-his-magic-on-dogecoin-and-bitcoin?srnd=premium

    Realmente hoje em dia é mesmo que se danem os fundamentais. Se os mais ricos do mundo dizem que é para ir por ali, eu vou por ali.

    Ainda há os que pensam que os reguladores podem isto e aquilo. Meus amigos, o Bezos se quiser desliga um país todo de um dia para o outro. É só mandar desligar a cloud que serve IPs desse país. Nem governos nem empresas mais trabalham.

    Pró bem ou pró mal, a concentração de poder é colossal hoje em dia.

    Editado por Patanisca
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    há 8 minutos, Patanisca disse:

    Meus amigos, o Bezos se quiser desliga um país todo de um dia para o outro. É só mandar desligar a cloud que serve IPs desse país. Nem governos nem empresas mais trabalham.

    Também só o faz uma vez, uma vez aberta caixa de pandora, esta não fecha e o backlash resultante só vai trazer prejuízo. Tal como a Google que recusa pagar pelo content que disponibiliza ( mas não cria ) e ameaçou mesmo desligar o search engine na ilha ...

    Todas as ferramentas têm a sua utilidade, mas forem usadas com o mesmo propósito de um martelo vai acabar mal.
     

    os ricos podem dar-se ao luxo de definir caminhos, mas eu ainda estou longe de andar á caça de diamonds

    Editado por N.Rocha
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    Will the Real Value Factor Funds Please Stand Up?

    Characteristics of Mutual Fund Portfolios: Where Are the Value Funds?

    • Martin Lettau, Sydney C. Ludvigson, Paulo Manoel
    • Working paper
    • A version of this paper can be found here
    • Want to read our summaries of academic finance papers? Check out our Academic Research Insight category

    What are the research questions?

    If you’re a value investor who has determined that you have better things to do with your time, at some point you may have decided to outsource the investment task to a fund manager. And if you read our blog (especially this post) you’re probably looking to oursource to a systematic process versus a discretionary one. The first step in your due diligence process is easy: ask your smart friends for advice and google for “Value Funds.” A plethora of options will be available, as there are thousands of funds with “value” in their description. 1

    But do these funds actually seek to capture the so-called “value factor?” Sadly, naming funds “value” is a lot more popular than actually investing in systematica “value.” Using a sample of 2,638 active mutual funds (574 value plus 1,130 growth funds), 955 ETFs, and 114 hedge funds, the authors focus on three basic issues.

    1. Do active fund managers exploit traditional value factor risk premia across the universe of US mutual funds?
    2. Does the average fund exhibit similar asymmetry?
    3. What about other traditional factors like size and momentum?

    While the results obtained for ETFs and hedge funds were similar to that of mutual funds, this summary will deal with mutual funds.

    What are the Academic Insights?

    1. NO. Across the universe of mutual funds, the analysis in this article documents the finding that funds tend to hold securities on the low return leg of the long/short value factor portfolio. This was especially true for funds using the book-to-market ratio 2 to identify value stocks. ETFs and hedge funds exhibited a similar tilt towards low book-to-market ratios.  There were no funds that exhibited a tilt towards high book-to-market stocks, even when the fund was explicitly marketed as a value fund.  Not to be eclipsed, the same pattern was observed for earnings-to-price, dividend-to-price, and the Morningstar value/growth measure for the same mutual funds, ETFs, and hedge funds. More details are supplied in Figure 1 below.  For context, note the book-to-market ratio ranges from “1” to “5”, where “1” = the extremely low quintile of book-to-market and “5” = the extremely high quintile value. Forty percent of funds fell between quintile 1 and quintile 2– extremely low value;  9% fell between Q2 and Q3–moderate value; however, only 7 of 2,657 funds in the sample had a ratio greater than Q4–high or very high value.  Essentially, there were no real value funds in the US universe of all mutual funds in the sample.   The takeaway here is that it is almost impossible to replicate a value portfolio, or the Fama-French value or “H” portfolio by looking to the mutual fund industry.  If one focuses on explicitly labeled “value funds” the situation is not much better. Note from Figure 1 that the majority of value funds fall between Q2 and Q3.5–middle of the road. However, there was an abundance of growth-oriented funds, that were in fact, high “growth”. Amazingly, the majority of growth funds fall between Q1 and Q2. Growth is everywhere and value is nowhere to be found.  The results were robust to other measures of value and characteristics of other vehicles such as ETFs and hedge funds.  The reader should be aware that the sample size and therefore, the representativeness of hedge funds and ETFs to a lesser degree, is poor.
    2. YES. On average, the average mutual fund allocates its holdings to stocks with book-to-market scores between Q1 and Q2 at 40% and allocates only 6% to stocks to Q5. Value funds tilt more toward low Q stocks, with 24% to Q1 and 13% with Q5 scores. It gets worse: only 7% of value funds held more than 25% of their portfolios in Q5 stocks. Again growth funds presented a stark contrast.  Almost all (95%) of growth funds allocated over a quarter of their holdings to low book-to-market stocks. A respectable representation for the Fama-French “L” portfolio.
    3. The asymmetry observed with value metrics was not present with size and momentum factors, although the average mutual fund does not appear to exploit the high return risk premia associated.  The average fund had scores slightly above Q3: momentum at 3.28, investment at 3.08, and profitability at 3.17, indicating little to no significant exposures in either direction to these factors. A very small percentage (4%) of funds have a high momentum tilt with a score above Q4.  However, the variability of the momentum score over time was higher than for other factors, so the overall distribution is less indicative of the average funds’ momentum tilt at any one point in time.  As to intention, the authors suggest that the momentum characteristic is likely a function of the contemporaneous holdings of low book-to-market stocks as opposed to an intentional bet on momentum. The results with respect to size are not new.  Mutual funds do not exploit the small stock premium, even if it does exist.  Only 2% of all mutual funds exhibit a score that is representative of the small stock leg of the classic long/short factor portfolio. The conventional wisdom explains it: large funds hold large-capitalization stocks because smaller stocks are more expensive to trade. Enough said.

    Why does it matter?

    The analysis of the factor exposures/characteristics of mutual funds suggests that the array of strategies offered by the fund industry are really quite limited. It is all but impossible to replicate value, momentum and size-based portfolios or any combination of such, by investing in mutual funds. 3 Further, the consistent exposure to low book-to-market stocks is frankly difficult to defend given the large body of empirical work on return drivers in the equity market. The adherence to low book-to-market strategies that promise a low return and are basically neutral to momentum for example, is more than puzzling.  Many more questions arise, than are answered in this research regarding the active management offered by mutual funds.  The authors propose at least four that convey why this research matters:

    “1. Why is the distribution of mutual fund portfolios so strongly tilted towards low book-to-market ratios and why are there virtually no high BM funds at all even though high BM stocks are associated with higher returns than low BM stocks?

     2. Why do funds that label themselves as “value” hold more low BM stocks than high BM stocks while “growth” funds hold almost exclusively low BM stocks?

    3. Why are portfolios of active mutual funds not more tilted towards other factors that are associated with high returns, i.e. small and high momentum stocks?

    4. Why don’t mutual funds combine multiple factor strategies (e.g., high BM – high momentum) that have been shown to be more profitable than univariate strategies.”

     

    The most important chart from the paper

    2021-01-27-12_08_08-MF_paper_fromWes.pdf-and-1-more-page-Personal-Microsoft%E2%80%8B-Edge-1-1200x736.png

    The results are hypothetical results and are NOT an indicator of future results and do NOT represent returns that any investor actually attained.  Indexes are unmanaged and do not reflect management or trading fees, and one cannot invest directly in an index.

    Abstract

    This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of portfolios of active mutual funds, ETFs and hedge funds through the lens of risk (anomaly) factors. We show that that these funds do not systematically tilt their portfolios towards profitable factors, such as high book-to-market (BM) ratios, high momentum, small size, high profitability and low investment growth. Strikingly, there are almost no high-BM funds in our sample while there are many low-BM “growth” funds. Portfolios of “growth” funds are concentrated in low BM-stocks but “value” funds hold stocks across the entire BM spectrum. In fact, most “value” funds hold a higher proportion of their portfolios in low-BM (“growth”) stocks than in high-BM (“value”) stocks. While there are some micro/small/mid-cap funds, the vast majority of mutual funds hold very large stocks. But the distributions of mutual fund momentum, profitability and investment growth are concentrated around market average with little variation across funds. The characteristics distributions of ETFs and hedge funds do not differ significantly from the those of mutual funds. We conclude that the characteristics of mutual fund portfolios raises a number of questions about why funds do not exploit well-known return premia and how their portfolio choices affects asset prices in equilibrium.

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    Notes:

    1. Or get access to the AA Portfolio Architect tool which is specifically designed to assess fund characteristics. ↩
    2. Note that the paper is utilizing Book/market where value is represented by a high ratio, unlike the more standard price/book ratio where a low ratio represents value ↩
    3. Although, Alpha Architect, and others, via more factor-centric indexes are trying to help solve this problem! ↩

    https://alphaarchitect.com/2021/02/08/will-the-real-value-factor-funds-please-stand-up/

    Editado por Bedrock
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    há 1 hora, D@vid disse:

    Vamos então dissecar os vinhos envinagrados em termos de média de rentabilidades anualizadas a 10 anos ( quase o tempo deste tópico )

     

    FUNDOS DE OBRIGAÇÕES:

    NB Obrigações Europa FI Acc  +9,32%

    PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E EUR Hdg Acc  +3,10%

    PIMCO GIS Diversified Inc E EUR Hdg Acc  +4,01%

    PIMCO GIS Global Bond E EUR Hdg Acc  +3,40%

    NB Rendimento Plus FIA  +6,19%

    PIMCO GIS Global Hi Yld  Bd E Eur Hdgd +4%

    AXA WF Glbl High Yield Bonds E(H)-C EUR +3,33%

    Amundi Funds II - Emerging Markets Bond C EUR ND  +5,90%

    AXA WF Euro 5-7 EC EUR +3,24%

    PF(LUX)-Global Emerging Debt HR EUR Acc  +3,45%

    Henderson Horizon Euro Corp Bond A Acc  +4,36%

    Pictet-EUR Government Bonds R +4,07%

     

    FUNDOS MISTOS:

    Invesco Balanced-Risk Alloc E +4,16%

    Nordea-1 Stable Return E EUR +3,22%

    MFS Meridian Funds - Prudent Wealth Fund versão sem hedge --> +8,42%

     

    Acatis Gané Value Event Fonds A +7,50%

    Allianz Dynamic Multi Asset Strategy 75 A EUR +8,71%

     

    FUNDOS DE ACÇÕES:

    NN (L) Food & Beverages X Cap EUR +8,13%

    Fidelity Global Consumer Inds A-Dis-EUR +13,31%

    Pictet Water-R EUR +9,67%

    Allianz Europe Equity Growth CT EUR +9,80%

    Jupiter European Growth L EUR Acc  +10,65%

    BMO European Smaller Companies Fund A Inc EUR +10%

    MFS Meridian European Value A1 EUR +10%

    Blackrock European Absolute Return E2 EUR ( fundo de market neutral ) +2,82%

    Amundi Fds US Fundamental Gr C EUR ND +14,41%

    JPMorgan Funds - JPMorgan ASEAN Equity D (acc) - EUR  +5%

    Legg Mason ClearBridge US Large Cap Growth Fund Class A Euro Acc +16,74%

     

    * 3 fundos não têm ainda histórico a 10 anos.

    Não sei qual ao vosso nível de tolerância ao vinagre mas o meu até tem sido bom 🤣

     

    O meu nível de tolerância ao vinagre é acima da média, pois até o tomo todos os dias de manhã. 

    O vinagre é um bom amigo para nos ajudar a decompor o azeite e gorduras, agora vinagre no vinho já é outra coisa, pois temos o vinho em downside e o vinagre em upside, logo temos aqui 2 ativos com correlação negativa, que pode ser bom para uma carteira de ativos do tipo all weather, mas no caso do vinho avinagrado já não funciona assim, pois nem temos ainda vinagre de qualidade e temos o vinho estragado.

    Por exemplo, eu tenho uma correlação de -1 em relação ao user Filipeferreira, mas se nós estivermos juntos no mesmo portfólio, os ativos que lá estiverem alocados vão todos pelo ar, tal é a entropia gerada. Neste caso, eu sou o vinho e o bosta do Filipeferreira é o vinagre que só vem tentar estragar a evolução e rentabilidade do portfólio.

    Estou já a preparar um antiácido para neutralizar o vinagre do Filipeferreira ... nós não devemos abusar da sorte, pois não somos inimputáveis. 

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    há 9 minutos, D@vid disse:

    Parece que o David Almas voltou a abordar o assunto da correcção da moeda nos fundos:

    Fevereiro de 2021

    • Menos de 10% de imposto sobre as mais-valias de fundos? É possível

    Alguém tem acesso ao artigo?

    https://tlim.pt/boletim/

    tb gostaria de ter acesso artigo.

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    Já me fizeram chegar o artigo o qual muito agradeço 😁 já coloco aqui as conclusões, mas saltou-me à vista o facto de o David Almas ter interpretado erradamente num artigo, salvo erro em 2015, a questão da  correcção automática, que também me levou em erro, mas na qual tentei saber mais e não consegui chegar a nenhuma conclusão, ele no artigo diz que contactou a AT para ter uma resposta cabal, mas já partilho as partes importantes que li.

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    • -------- changed the title to Fundos de Investimento ( Mutual Funds - SICAV )

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